After months of partisan wrangling, it is finally time for the voters to deliver their decision on the 2010 mid-term elections in the Congress, as Republicans seem to have the edge today.
Republicans need to gain a net of 39 seats to charge of the House and 10 seats to take over the Senate. Political experts think the first is almost a given, while the latter is still a longshot.
It isn't difficult to get to 39 seats for a GOP takeover, as most political experts are expecting the Republicans to be back in charge of the House.
The big question is how many seats will the GOP win.
One Republican lawmaker told me yesterday that his guess is 55 seats - that's one more than what Republicans won in 1994.
Others though see the chance for a much larger haul - 60, 70, even 80 seats or more. If the "wave" is that high, then a number of unsuspecting Democrats will likely get swept out tonight, as happened in 2006 to then-Rep. Jim Leach (R-IA), even though Democrats didn't even target him.
"You're going to see somebody like that fall this time," says Henry Olsen, an elections expert at the American Enterprise Institute.
"On my list, I have what I call 'Super Upset Specials'," as Olsen and many others around here try to figure out who might be at risk on a night like this.
I should resist making any predictions like that, but I will say that I wonder if the GOP advantage in the state of Michigan could mean that a longtime Democratic lawmaker will go down to defeat.
Where are Democrats at risk of losing seats? I don't mean to be flip - but 'just about anywhere' is the answer, from New England to Blue Dogs in the South, to the Midwest and West.
As of today, Republicans have no seats in New England in the U.S. House. They have a chance to change that in Maine, Rhode Island, Massachusetts and Connecticut.
Republicans have only two of the 29 seats in the New York delegation. They have a chance to increase that dramatically.
In key states like Pennsylvania and Ohio, the losses could approach a half dozen seats in each state if the wave is big enough for the GOP.
Virginia could see at least three Democrats go down. Meanwhile, Blue Dog Democrats are at risk in Virginia, North & South Carolina, Georgia, Florida, Alabama, Tennessee and Mississippi.
In Florida, Republicans think they can win four seats from the Democrats.
Texas could deliver as many as two to four seats for the GOP.
Indiana has three seats at risk, three or four more in Illinois, several in Michigan and Wisconsin could go to the GOP. Iowa has some GOP longshots.
Missouri has two seats that might shift, Arkansas has two or three, depending on the size of the Republican gains. Another one could go in Louisiana.
All three freshman Democrats in New Mexico are at risk, as are maybe four or five Democrats in Arizona. It probably didn't help to have arguments yesterday on the Arizona immigration law, a reminder for voters one day before the elections.
Democrats could lose the only House seat in both of the Dakotas, one in Kansas, three or four in Colorado, maybe one in Utah, another in Nevada and one in Idaho.
The Pacific Coast isn't immune either, as maybe three Democrats are at risk in California, another one or two in Oregon and a couple of seats in Washington State.
What about the GOP? Don't they have some seats at risk? Oh yeah, four or five tops - in Delaware, Louisiana, Hawaii, Illinois and south Florida. You can see how one-sided this election looks at this point.
So will the GOP win big? We'll see what the voters decide.
As for my election coverage tonight, I will be on with live reports starting through the evening, and then at 11pm EDT, I will be hosting several hours of election coverage, focusing on the race for Congress. Please check back on my blog all night, as I will be posting comments as the results unfold.
Showing posts with label Democract. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Democract. Show all posts
Tuesday, November 2, 2010
Thursday, July 29, 2010
Demonize The Tea Party Through Association With Republican Establishment
Steve Watson - Democrat leaders have finally realised that anti-establishment sentiment is the driving force behind the Tea Party movement, announcing a plan to demonize it via a national campaign to associate the GOP and the Tea Party as one and the same.
The Associated Press reports:
“Democratic National Committee sources say the party’s strategy is to pose the November midterm elections as a contest between Democrats and a joint GOP-tea party plan for the country.”
The campaign will see grassroots activists painted as tools of the Republican establishment and the GOP associated with “extremist” ideologies.
The official launch of the campaign was made Wednesday by DNC Chairman Tim Kaine.
A website at www.republicanteapartycontract.com, a play on Newt Gingrich’s 1994 GOP “Contract With America”, along with a crudely produced video, mark the direction the DNC is taking.
The video urges viewers to “GET THE FACTS”, as it outlines a 10-point blueprint on what policies Tea Party candidates would enact if voted into power.
The items on the “Tea Party Contract on America” are:
1. Repeal the Affordable Care Act (Health insurance Reform)
2. Privatize Social Security or phase it out altogether
3. End Medicare as it presently exists
4. Extend the Bush tax breaks for the wealthy and big oil
5. Repeal Wall Street Reform
6. Protect those responsible for the oil spill and future environmental catastrophes
7. Abolish the Department of education
8. Abolish the Department of energy
9. Abolish the environmental protection agency
10. Repeal the 17th Amendment which provides for the direct election of senators
These are mostly libertarian rooted positions that various tea party affiliated candidates and incumbents have espoused, except for numbers four and six, which are more direct accusations.
The video features images of Rep. Pete Sessions, who runs the GOP’s effort to elect House candidates, and Republican Caucus Chairman Mike Pence, as well as Senate candidates Rand Paul and Sharon Angle, amongst others.
The idea is clearly to depict such positions as outside of mainstream political thought, yet multiple recent national polls indicate that such a notion is deeply misguided.
The National Republican Senatorial Committee has described the campaign as part of an “increasingly desperate strategy that remains ignorant of exactly why independent voters are fleeing them in droves”.
The key flaw in the Democratic campaign is that voters are now painfully aware that it is not the Tea Party and the GOP that are one and the same, it is the two establishment parties.
The Associated Press reports:
“Democratic National Committee sources say the party’s strategy is to pose the November midterm elections as a contest between Democrats and a joint GOP-tea party plan for the country.”
The campaign will see grassroots activists painted as tools of the Republican establishment and the GOP associated with “extremist” ideologies.
The official launch of the campaign was made Wednesday by DNC Chairman Tim Kaine.
A website at www.republicanteapartycontract.com, a play on Newt Gingrich’s 1994 GOP “Contract With America”, along with a crudely produced video, mark the direction the DNC is taking.
The video urges viewers to “GET THE FACTS”, as it outlines a 10-point blueprint on what policies Tea Party candidates would enact if voted into power.
The items on the “Tea Party Contract on America” are:
1. Repeal the Affordable Care Act (Health insurance Reform)
2. Privatize Social Security or phase it out altogether
3. End Medicare as it presently exists
4. Extend the Bush tax breaks for the wealthy and big oil
5. Repeal Wall Street Reform
6. Protect those responsible for the oil spill and future environmental catastrophes
7. Abolish the Department of education
8. Abolish the Department of energy
9. Abolish the environmental protection agency
10. Repeal the 17th Amendment which provides for the direct election of senators
These are mostly libertarian rooted positions that various tea party affiliated candidates and incumbents have espoused, except for numbers four and six, which are more direct accusations.
The video features images of Rep. Pete Sessions, who runs the GOP’s effort to elect House candidates, and Republican Caucus Chairman Mike Pence, as well as Senate candidates Rand Paul and Sharon Angle, amongst others.
The idea is clearly to depict such positions as outside of mainstream political thought, yet multiple recent national polls indicate that such a notion is deeply misguided.
The National Republican Senatorial Committee has described the campaign as part of an “increasingly desperate strategy that remains ignorant of exactly why independent voters are fleeing them in droves”.
The key flaw in the Democratic campaign is that voters are now painfully aware that it is not the Tea Party and the GOP that are one and the same, it is the two establishment parties.
Tuesday, May 18, 2010
Conn. Senate Hopeful Richard Blumenthal Lied About Vietnam Service
Chris Cillizza - The New York Times reported Monday night that Connecticut Attorney General Richard Blumenthal has claimed on numerous occasions that he served in Vietnam, even though he obtained at least five military deferments and avoided ever going to war.
Blumenthal (D) is a candidate for the U.S. Senate seat now held by Christopher J. Dodd (D), and he has held a commanding lead in the race since he entered it. But the Times report has the potential to fundamentally reshape the contest in the Nutmeg State.
Eric Schultz, communications director for the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, blamed Republicans for the report. In particular, he said, former World Wrestling Entertainment executive Linda McMahon, one of several Republicans running for the seat.
"It's no surprise Republicans would want to smear Dick Blumenthal, considering all of the debauchery at [WWE] under Linda McMahon's watch," Schultz said.
Ed Patru, a spokesman for McMahon, responded, "It's become increasingly clear to us over the past weeks and months, as we've researched Mr. Blumenthal, that there are some very troubling discrepancies between what he's been saying and the truth."
Blumenthal has served as the state's top cop since 1988, and national Democrats spent months ensuring that he was ready to run if and when Dodd decided not to seek reelection.
When Blumenthal entered the race, his poll numbers were stratospheric: He held massive leads over McMahon and Rob Simmons, a former congressman. Even as Democrats celebrated, however, some warned that Blumenthal had not been tested in a serious campaign in more than two decades and that once punched -- as he inevitably would be in a high-profile race like this one -- he would collapse.
"He's popular, but for no particular reason," said one senior Democratic strategist, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to be candid. "No one really knows him, and this fills in the blanks in a pretty devastating way."
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The strategist added that Connecticut remains strongly Democratic, which works in Blumenthal's favor, but, he acknowledged, "It's a race now."
Blumenthal faces only nominal primary opposition at the moment, although the state's filing deadline isn't for another week. That week is going to be the toughest of Blumenthal's career.
The Times reported that Blumenthal obtained deferments from 1965 to 1970, then joined the Marine Reserve in 1970 and was based in Washington through the end of the war. The newspaper added that the deferments allowed Blumenthal to complete his studies at Harvard and serve as a special assistant to The Washington Post's publisher, Katharine Graham.
He told the Times on Monday that he misspoke about his service in one 2008 event and might have misspoken on other occasions. "My intention has always been to be completely clear and accurate and straightforward, out of respect to the veterans who served in Vietnam," he said.
Blumenthal (D) is a candidate for the U.S. Senate seat now held by Christopher J. Dodd (D), and he has held a commanding lead in the race since he entered it. But the Times report has the potential to fundamentally reshape the contest in the Nutmeg State.
Eric Schultz, communications director for the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, blamed Republicans for the report. In particular, he said, former World Wrestling Entertainment executive Linda McMahon, one of several Republicans running for the seat.
"It's no surprise Republicans would want to smear Dick Blumenthal, considering all of the debauchery at [WWE] under Linda McMahon's watch," Schultz said.
Ed Patru, a spokesman for McMahon, responded, "It's become increasingly clear to us over the past weeks and months, as we've researched Mr. Blumenthal, that there are some very troubling discrepancies between what he's been saying and the truth."
Blumenthal has served as the state's top cop since 1988, and national Democrats spent months ensuring that he was ready to run if and when Dodd decided not to seek reelection.
When Blumenthal entered the race, his poll numbers were stratospheric: He held massive leads over McMahon and Rob Simmons, a former congressman. Even as Democrats celebrated, however, some warned that Blumenthal had not been tested in a serious campaign in more than two decades and that once punched -- as he inevitably would be in a high-profile race like this one -- he would collapse.
"He's popular, but for no particular reason," said one senior Democratic strategist, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to be candid. "No one really knows him, and this fills in the blanks in a pretty devastating way."
ad_icon
The strategist added that Connecticut remains strongly Democratic, which works in Blumenthal's favor, but, he acknowledged, "It's a race now."
Blumenthal faces only nominal primary opposition at the moment, although the state's filing deadline isn't for another week. That week is going to be the toughest of Blumenthal's career.
The Times reported that Blumenthal obtained deferments from 1965 to 1970, then joined the Marine Reserve in 1970 and was based in Washington through the end of the war. The newspaper added that the deferments allowed Blumenthal to complete his studies at Harvard and serve as a special assistant to The Washington Post's publisher, Katharine Graham.
He told the Times on Monday that he misspoke about his service in one 2008 event and might have misspoken on other occasions. "My intention has always been to be completely clear and accurate and straightforward, out of respect to the veterans who served in Vietnam," he said.
Monday, November 2, 2009
Conservative Referendum on RHINO'S
In New York Congressional District 23 with Doug Hoffman the Conservative movement has proven to the political elite in America that we are still a well oiled machine compared to the RNC. The RNC and RHINOS showed complete contempt for Conservatives when the endorsed Dede Scozzafava for Congress who is a pro abortionist, pro gay rights and pro-card check candidate for Congress in a Conservative district in upstate New York. This tactical move by Conservatives to support Doug Hoffman will make a lasting impression on the RNC in the 2010 mid-term election and 2012 Presidential election. The liberal media will say that the Republican Party is moving to hard right not the so-called moderate center. The Republican Party only win elections when they go back to there grassroots base which is Conservatism.The last Presidential election has proven us right when the Republican Party nominated a RHINO Sen. John McCain and we got crushed in the General election by a socialist liberal President Obama. The Republican Party does not need to be re-branded themselves but, go back to those basic principals that President Reagan and Contract For American stood for and we will win 2010 and 2012 election in a landslide. The Republican Party candidate Scozzafava now is supporting Bill Owens the Democratic Candidate in NY23 because, she does not like the Conservative agenda. Scozzafava would have probably switched parties if she was elected to Congress and embarrassed the RNC. Scozzafava is now doing Robo Calls the for the Democrat Bill Owens and this is a slap in the face to Newt Gingrich and Michael Steele who spent almost a million dollars supporting this Benedict Arnold who was camouflaged as Republican. The RHINO'S have been trying to convince Conservatives that the Reagan era is over and we must make a tactical move to the left to secure votes. I am not willing to sell out my Conservative principals for RHINO'S like Dede Scozzafava who will openly flaunt her liberal socialist views while representing the Republican Party in the Congress. Finally, what the RNC has to understand is that we are Conservatives before we are Republicans and there is not enough money or votes that sway our opinions when it comes to the major issues that will save our "Republic" form a certain downfall.
Monday, November 3, 2008
OBAMA " THE FIRST SOCALIST PRESIDENT"
The American people are about to make the biggest mistake in the history to this country by electing Sen. Obama to be the next President Of The United States. Sen. Obama is a professed Socialist and the American people are willing to putting over Two Hundred years of history on the line when it comes to being a Capitalist Country. Sen. Obama has let everyone know that he is going to "Spread The Wealth" with people who don't even pay taxes or work. Sen. Obama will rule this country with a "Iron Fist" just like a Communist or Fascist leader because, that is they only way he, cam implement his Socialist programs. Therefore, anyone who asks Sen. Obama any serious questions they will get the "Joe The Plumber" treatment and they will be investigated by all the branches of the Federal Government and Liberal Socialist Media. Sen. Obama will have the power of the FISA BILL and the Patriot Act to label certain organizations in America terrorist organizations with a stroke of his pen. Sen. Obama and Congress will also, try to pass the Fairness Doctrine to control Conservative Talk Show hosts like Sean Hannity, Rush Limbaugh and Glen Beck. Finally, this is the most important election in American History because it will dictate the future of America being a socialist Society or a democracy.
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