Tuesday, September 4, 2012

Why Mitt Romney Will Win The 2012 Election

Ronald Kessler reporting from Washington, D.C. — In the last presidential election, the press hoodwinked Americans into thinking Barack Obama was the messiah.

The press never reported that Obama had no significant achievements. As a community organizer, his only success was removing some of the asbestos from one Chicago apartment project.

In a revealing passage in his memoir, Obama wrote, “When classmates in college asked me just what it was that a community organizer did, I couldn’t answer them directly.”

Instead, he said, “I’d pronounce on the need for change. Change in the White House, where Reagan and his minions were carrying on their dirty deeds. Change in the Congress, compliant and corrupt. Change in the mood of the country, manic and self-absorbed. Change won’t come from the top, I would say. Change will come from a mobilized grass roots.”

Thus, Obama admitted that he accomplished little but was able to cover that up with diversionary talk about change.

Nor did the press report until it was too late that Obama had spent 20 years listening to the anti-white, anti-America, anti-Israel hate speech of his friend and mentor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, Jr. Despite the press’ cover-up, if the financial crisis had not hit a few weeks before the election, John McCain likely would have won.

In this election, the press is still boosting President Obama, but it can’t hide the economic statistics that demonstrate Obama’s failure as president. Polls show the public understands that failure. Two-thirds of Americans think the country is on the wrong track.

While Obama is seen as more likable than Romney and the two have been running neck and neck in the polls, many hesitate to say they don’t like or won’t vote for a black man who is bright and engaging.

At the same time, Americans who have had to tighten their belts since the financial crisis understand that the country must deal with its fiscal problems, as the Romney ticket advocates.

If you doubt that, look at the results of the 2010 midterm election: With cutting government spending and attacking the fiscal crisis as major issues, the GOP won back six Senate seats and 63 seats and the majority in the House of Representatives. That led Obama to say he had suffered a “shellacking.”

Republicans also won the majority of the country’s governorships. More recently, Republican Gov. Scott Walker in Wisconsin withstood a recall vote protesting his cutbacks in government spending.

Polls cannot measure how many will actually show up to vote for one candidate or the other. Now that Paul Ryan has been added to the Romney ticket, conservatives are fired up. The crowds of students supporting Obama on college campuses are now nowhere to be seen. Blacks who have borne the brunt of Obama’s dismal employment record are far less enthusiastic about him than they once were. Independents who favored Obama now support Romney.

For months before he was elected, Ronald Reagan was behind Jimmy Carter by double digits in the polls. In the end, Reagan won by 10 percentage points.

Romney and the Republican National Committee have more money than Obama. They are starting to flood the country with ads that portray Obama’s failure and replay his comment that businessmen are not responsible for their own success.

The ads portray Romney as the decent man he is: With the exception of some in the press, almost everyone at the GOP convention in Tampa teared up as they heard from members of his church recounting how Romney took the time to visit and comfort their dying kids.

As noted in my story "Dave Keene: Romney Will Win by 5 to 7 Points," the former chairman of the American Conservative Union predicted as far back as June 2011 that Romney would be the GOP nominee. Just after Obama was elected president, Keene said that he “did not win for the reasons he thinks he did, and he can be counted on to overreach, helping to return Republicans to power.”

Keene says Romney will win decisively, and since the GOP convention, polls show that momentum is moving in Romney’s direction. Given the headwinds Obama faces and the quality Romney brings to the table, I believe we will start to see a snowball effect in favor of the former Massachusetts governor.

Most of all, I have faith in the American people and their ability this time to see Obama for what he reveals himself in his own memoirs to be: a pitchman. My prediction is that Romney will win by 10 to 12 percentage points.

1 comment:

  1. Voting blocs Romney has NOT even got a chance at:
    Women
    Blacks
    Latinos
    Gays
    Seniors
    Unions
    Middle Class/Poor
    Pretty much the only thing Romney is relying on at this point is a combination of winning the bigoted/racist white vote, and suppressing the vote of minorities and the poor.

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