Thursday, August 4, 2011

Battleground States Swing Against Obama

Karl - This morning’s Quinnipiac University poll is no birthday present for the president:
The national debt ceiling deal does not rescue President Barack Obama’s crashing job approval rating in Florida as he gets a negative 44 – 51 percent score among voters surveyed August 1 – 2, after the deal was announced, compared to a negative 44 – 50 percent score among voters surveyed July 27 – 31, before the deal ***.
This compares to a positive 51 – 43 percent approval rating for President Obama in a May 26 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll.
Florida voters surveyed after the deal say 50 – 42 percent that Obama does not deserve to be reelected, compared to a 47 – 46 percent split before the deal and 50 – 44 percent support for his reelection May 26.
Indeed, the Q-Poll shows Mitt Romney and Rick Perry both gained on Obama in the post-deal polling.  Other internals are similarly bad.  NRO’s Jim Geraghty notes Florida women shifted from 53%/40% approval/disapproval of Obama in May to a 46/49 split today.  The Hotline’s Josh Kraushaar  thinks the most scary number for Obama in the poll is the 61% job disapproval among independents, with just 33% approving, noting:  “That’s Bush post-Katrina territory.”  Kraushaar also gives the broader context: “All told, we now have Obama behind/in deep trouble in FL, IA, PA, MI, OH, NH, and NC in the last month.”  He adds that those are “Dukakis ’88 numbers.”
Maybe Obama’s seventh pivot to jobs will turn things around.  Our Orator-in-Chief is taking a thinly-veiled, taxpayer-funded campaign tour through Midwestern swing states later this month.  As the odds of a double-dip recession rise, it may take more than words to slow the ocean of bad news for the unemployed and the Lightworker who desperately does not want to join their ranks next year.

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